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Economic Cloud Has a Silver Lining

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Economist Roger Tutterow, Ph.D. Professor of Economics at Kennesaw State University, speaking at Tandem Bank 2022 Economic Forum

In the early days of Tandem Bank’s existence, Chairman, CEO and Founder Charles DeWitt pointed out how it differentiates itself from many other banks.

In an interview with Atlanta Business Chronicle, he said there would be an increased focus on technology. Three years later, there is a main bank, but customers are encouraged to do more banking with their cell phones and utilize other technology.

The other difference is in the name. DeWitt said “Tandem” refers to the tandem bicycle, and it means that whether the client is an entrepreneur, a real estate professional or business operator, it will stay alongside them, providing capital or safeguarding their money but always keeping the spotlight on the customer.

In keeping with the philosophy of remaining beside clients, Tandem hosted its first Economic Forum on Thursday, September 22. The event featured Roger Tutterow, professor of economics at Kennesaw State University (KSU). He also serves as director of the Econometric Center, a research center housed in KSU’s Coles College of Business.

Economic insights shared

Tutterow shared his insights on the current economic situation and explained where metro Atlanta, the state of Georgia and the United States stand in global finance. His take was entertaining as well as informative as he covered critically important issues, such as:

  • Persistently high inflation and rising interest rates,
  • Labor challenges and supply chain woes,
  • Downward trending consumer sentiment, and
  • Likelihood and possible depth of a recession.

“We went through an incredible economic period from July 28, 2009 until February 2020,” said Tutterow. “The economy grew for 128 consecutive months, the longest economic expansion of the post-World War II era. And then the pandemic came. And we went from an economy that was growing at 2¼% to one that started contracting overnight.”

Although that was no surprise, the repercussions and recovery have many confused about whether we’re headed back to prosperity. “Today, the question on many people’s minds is ‘Are we currently in a recession? Or is one the likely outcome in the near term?’” he said.

With that as background, Tutterow showed some fundamental data to help find an answer. He first explained that the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) will determine an answer through analysis. On the other hand, it’s not inconceivable that the economy may actually start growing again.

“It may well be several more quarters before we get a final ruling,” Tutterow said.

There’s a misconception that two negative quarters of GDP growth indicate a recession is imminent. The NBER says a period of diminished activity in production, trade, income and employment of sufficient depth and breadth are proof of a recession. So, with payrolls still growing and industrial production still rising, it actually doesn’t appear the economy has been in recession in the first half of 2022.

Although the economy plunged during the pandemic, once things started reopening, consumer confidence came back up, said Tutterow. “And then we got into 2021. And the summer of 2021, fall 2021, confidence started falling.” he said.

Some media sources tend to blame the economic issues on gas prices. “The consumer psyche is overly sensitive to gas prices,” Tutterow said. “Gasoline prices exert more effect upon the perceptions of inflation than the actual percentage of the expenditures.

“Let’s be honest, gas prices matter. …So when the price of gas goes up by $2 per gallon, that’s $2,000 of after-tax, disposable income that goes from you into the gas tank [if you average about 1,000 gallons a year.]”

At the end of the day, the economy isn’t doing so bad, Tutterow stressed. Even though interest rates have climbed a little, buying a house at 7% interest sure beats the 18% average people were paying in 1981. Historically, access to capital is still cheap.

In the early days of Tandem Bank’s existence, Chairman, CEO and Founder Charles DeWitt pointed out how it differentiates itself from many other banks.

In an interview with Atlanta Business Chronicle, he said there would be an increased focus on technology. Three years later, there is a main bank, but customers are encouraged to do more banking with their cell phones and utilize other technology.

The other difference is in the name. DeWitt said “Tandem” refers to the tandem bicycle, and it means that whether the client is an entrepreneur, a real estate professional or business operator, it will stay alongside them, providing capital or safeguarding their money but always keeping the spotlight on the customer.

In keeping with the philosophy of remaining beside clients, Tandem hosted its first Economic Forum on Thursday, September 22. The event featured Roger Tutterow, professor of economics at Kennesaw State University (KSU). He also serves as director of the Econometric Center, a research center housed in KSU’s Coles College of Business.

Tandem Bank’s Chairman and CEO Charles DeWitt (right) with Tutterow

Economic insights shared

Tutterow shared his insights on the current economic situation and explained where metro Atlanta, the state of Georgia and the United States stand in global finance. His take was entertaining as well as informative as he covered critically important issues, such as:

  • Persistently high inflation and rising interest rates,
  • Labor challenges and supply chain woes,
  • Downward trending consumer sentiment, and
  • Likelihood and possible depth of a recession.

“We went through an incredible economic period from July 28, 2009 until February 2020,” said Tutterow. “The economy grew for 128 consecutive months, the longest economic expansion of the post-World War II era. And then the pandemic came. And we went from an economy that was growing at 2¼% to one that started contracting overnight.”

Tandem Bank 2022 Economic Forum held at Stone Ridge Event Center, Stone Mountain, GA

Although that was no surprise, the repercussions and recovery have many confused about whether we’re headed back to prosperity. “Today, the question on many people’s minds is ‘Are we currently in a recession? Or is one the likely outcome in the near term?’” he said.

With that as background, Tutterow showed some fundamental data to help find an answer. He first explained that the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) will determine an answer through analysis. On the other hand, it’s not inconceivable that the economy may actually start growing again.

“It may well be several more quarters before we get a final ruling,” Tutterow said.

There’s a misconception that two negative quarters of GDP growth indicate a recession is imminent. The NBER says a period of diminished activity in production, trade, income and employment of sufficient depth and breadth are proof of a recession. So, with payrolls still growing and industrial production still rising, it actually doesn’t appear the economy has been in recession in the first half of 2022.

Although the economy plunged during the pandemic, once things started reopening, consumer confidence came back up, said Tutterow. “And then we got into 2021. And the summer of 2021, fall 2021, confidence started falling.” he said.

Some media sources tend to blame the economic issues on gas prices. “The consumer psyche is overly sensitive to gas prices,” Tutterow said. “Gasoline prices exert more effect upon the perceptions of inflation than the actual percentage of the expenditures.

“Let’s be honest, gas prices matter. …So when the price of gas goes up by $2 per gallon, that’s $2,000 of after-tax, disposable income that goes from you into the gas tank [if you average about 1,000 gallons a year.]”

At the end of the day, the economy isn’t doing so bad, Tutterow stressed. Even though interest rates have climbed a little, buying a house at 7% interest sure beats the 18% average people were paying in 1981. Historically, access to capital is still cheap.

Left: Weare Gratwick
Sr. VP/Gwinnett Market President
470-482-1818 Office

Right: Wendy Willis
Business Development
470-482-1819 Office
www.tandem.bank

Arlinda Smith Broady is part of the Boomerang Generation of Blacks that moved back to the South after their ancestors moved North. With approximately three decades of journalism experience (she doesn't look it), she's worked in tiny, minority-based newsrooms to major metropolitans. At every endeavor she brings professionalism, passion, pluck, and the desire to spread the news to the people.

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Lisa Anders Promoted to Chief Operating Officer of Explore Gwinnett

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Professional headshot of a brown-haired woman wearing a blue top

Explore Gwinnett, the destination marketing organization for Gwinnett County, has announced the promotion of Lisa Anders from executive director to chief operating officer (COO). Since joining the organization in 1996, Anders has demonstrated outstanding leadership and has established a track record of developing partnerships essential to leading and expanding the evolving destination marketing organization. The creation and oversight of both the Gwinnett Film Commission and Gwinnett Creativity Fund are just two of her achievements.

“I am honored to step into the role of chief operating officer at Explore Gwinnett,” said Anders. “Over the past 13 years as executive director, I have had the privilege of witnessing remarkable growth for our destination. I am eager to enter this new chapter, and I’m looking forward to continuing to see how we expand.”

As COO, Anders will take on the additional responsibility of overseeing the Gwinnett Sports Commission. This division is dedicated to driving economic development through sports, managing a variety of events for youth, collegiate, amateur and professional athletic organizations. Ander’s innovative approach and extensive network of local and national connections will further support the commission’s overall mission to establish Gwinnett County as a premier sports destination.

“The Gwinnett Sports Commission team has excelled in attracting and managing a diverse array of sporting events over the past several years,” Anders added. “I look forward to working closely with this talented team to support their ongoing efforts and foster economic development for our community.”

For more information, visit exploregwinnett.org.

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Peachtree Corners Resident Receives Entrepreneurial Spirit Award

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man in black shirt, arms crossed in front of him, looking at camera

Leroy Hite, founder of Cutting Edge Firewood, was honored with the Distinguished Alumni Award from Berry College in August

Berry College recently awarded its annual Distinguished Alumni Award for Entrepreneurial Spirit to Leroy Hite, founder of Cutting Edge Firewood (and Berry College graduate, class of 2008). The annual award recognizes and honors alumni who have demonstrated a range of positive entrepreneurial skills — including a commitment to turning a dream into a reality, the vision to create an enterprise, the courage to assume risks and the ability to make changes and take advantage of new opportunities. 

“This award holds a special place in my heart, maybe more than any other I’ve ever received,” said Hite. “Being recognized by my alma mater is incredibly meaningful to me. 
My entrepreneurial journey began at Berry College. It’s where that initial spark was ignited, and honestly, I’m not sure I’d be where I am today without it. Berry nurtured my curiosity, drive and resilience — the key ingredients to entrepreneurship.”

Innovative entrepreneurship

Berry College professor and leader of the school’s Entrepreneurship Program, Dr. Paula Englis, said that Hite took every class she offered. And when those ran out, he did directed studies with her.

man in cap sitting in front of a fireplace
photo courtesy of The PR Studio and Cooper & Co. Photography

“He always knew he wanted to run his own business, and the growth and success of his firewood enterprise has been a wonder to watch,” she said.

Hite was nominated by Berry alumni Alison Ritter, class of 1994. Georgia Governor Brian Kemp also supported Hite’s nomination.

“As a small business owner myself, I have strong appreciation for and recognize the perseverance it takes to build a business from the ground up,” said Kemp. “Leroy’s innovative approach to the firewood industry, focusing on product quality and customer service, mirrors the entrepreneurial spirit that has long driven Georgia’s economic success.” 

man standing next to firewood delivery truck
Photo courtesy of The PR Studio and Cooper & Co. Photography

The company

When Hite founded Cutting Edge Firewood in 2013, he created the world’s first luxury firewood and cooking wood company. He reinvented everything about the firewood industry, from how firewood is dried and stored to how it’s packaged, shipped and delivered. When the company began, it was just Leroy with a one truck and a trailer. Now Cutting Edge Firewood employs 40, stocks enough inventory to fill its 40,000-square-foot Peachtree Corners warehouse and ships wood to all 50 states. 

The wide variety of wood from Cutting Edge undergoes a special drying process to ensure that it’s free from unwanted pests, mold or fungus and provides an unmatched clean and bright burn with pleasant aroma. Their focus on process and the use of hardwoods such as oak, hickory, cherry, apple, pecan and maple ensures their customers receive the highest quality firewood, cooking wood and pizza wood possible.

For more information about Cutting Edge Firewood, visit cuttingedgefirewood.com.

To learn more about the Entrepreneurship Program at Berry College, visit berry.edu/academics/majors/entrepreneurship.

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Cornerstone Christian Academy Named One of Atlanta’s Top Workplaces 2024

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image with Cornerstone Christian Academy logo and Top Work Places 2024 banner

Cornerstone Christian Academy was recently awarded a Top Workplaces 2024 honor by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Recipients of this annual award are chosen solely from employee feedback gathered through a third-party survey administered by Energage, LLC. The anonymous survey uniquely measures multiple culture drivers that are critical to the success of any organization, including alignment, execution and connection.

In addition to their place on the 2024 list, Cornerstone was also ranked number one among small businesses and won a special award for company “Communication.”

Three people on stage in front of an audience at an awards show honoring the #1 small business winner 2024

“We were extremely humbled to hear that we were not only named on the list, but ranked first among small companies,” shared Colin Creel, headmaster at Cornerstone. “I am very thankful our staff has received this public validation of the amazing work that occurs here at Cornerstone. Our staff deserves all of the accolades they are receiving; Cornerstone is a very special place because of them.”

2024 marks the 14th year the AJC has recognized metro Atlanta businesses with the Top Workplaces award. And it’s the third time that Cornerstone has been named to the top spot in their category. This year’s recipients were selected from over 9,000 nominated companies and honored at an awards ceremony held at the Georgia Aquarium on August 14.

For more information about Cornerstone Christian Academy, visit cornerstonecougars.org.

To learn more about Top Workplaces, visit topworkplaces.com.

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